Can Bitcoin Reach $120K? Analysts Warn of Economic Headwinds

Analysts suggest that Bitcoin could potentially rise toward the $117,000–$120,000 range, but the recovery depends on fresh capital entering the spot market. Despite a recent rebound, global economic uncertainty and weak liquidity continue to pressure the world’s leading cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin Could Potentially Rise

Summary

  • A 2.5x imbalance between sellers and buyers persists in the crypto market.
  • U.S.–China trade tensions erased nearly $1 trillion from total crypto value.
  • Bitcoin’s recovery relies on renewed investor participation amid uncertain fundamentals.

Bitcoin’s Crash and Subsequent Rebound

Bitcoin recently endured one of the largest liquidation events in cryptocurrency history. The sell-off, triggered by escalating U.S.–China trade tensions, erased about $1 trillion from the global crypto market within hours, cutting the market cap from $4.26 trillion to $3.30 trillion.

During the crash, Bitcoin’s price declined roughly 18%, while several altcoins plunged up to 80%, with some becoming temporarily illiquid. Analysts pointed out a 2.5x imbalance favoring sellers, which fueled around $19 billion in futures liquidations in a single day. Although Bitcoin has since rebounded, its long-term recovery remains uncertain amid volatile market conditions.

Will Bitcoin Retest $120,000?

Experts note that the Bitcoin price must maintain key support near $110,000 to attempt another move toward the $117,000–$120,000 range. Sustained growth, however, depends on higher spot demand and stronger market liquidity.

For meaningful upside, Bitcoin requires fresh inflows of capital and renewed investor confidence. Until those conditions are met, Bitcoin’s momentum will likely remain influenced by global macroeconomic trends and investor sentiment.
Fresh Capital Entering the Spot Market

Macroeconomic Pressures on Bitcoin

Persistent global challenges — including the U.S. government shutdown and ongoing trade tensions — continue to weigh on financial markets. These factors have also slowed institutional activity within the crypto space, reducing overall liquidity.

For Bitcoin to achieve a full recovery, the market will need a more stable economic backdrop and stronger participation from both retail and institutional investors. Without these drivers, reclaiming the $120,000 level could prove difficult in the near term.

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