The XRP price correction outlook is turning cautious as the broader crypto market gives back its rebound. XRP has fallen about 3.5%, trading near $1.40, while Bitcoin and Ethereum are also correcting. Recent Ripple developments have been constructive, making broader market weakness a stronger explanation. Still, analyst CasiTrades believes XRP’s technical structure leaves room for another deeper correction before a larger move begins.
$1.10 Becomes the Key Level
CasiTrades’ analysis focuses on XRP consolidating below major macro Fibonacci resistance for roughly two weeks. The 0.618 resistance sits near $1.64.
XRP has lost the 0.5 retracement near $1.34. CasiTrades previously used this as an invalidation point for an Elliott Wave 4 setup that could have supported a move toward $1.77.
Instead, she sees a deeper retracement toward $1.10 as increasingly important. Traders are watching this area.
Why $1.10 Matters
CasiTrades identifies the $1.10 region ($1.06–$1.09) as crucial XRP support, aligning with subwave 2 and the macro 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. Dropping 21% from $1.40 to $1.10 would not invalidate the broader bullish thesis. A deep Wave 2 correction can preserve the larger recovery if structural support holds. Ultimately, the buyer reaction around $1.10 matters far more than reaching the price level itself, as a strong bounce could signal the start of a new macro uptrend.
Could XRP Fall Toward $0.90?
The bullish case weakens if $1.10 fails. CasiTrades’ chart leaves room for XRP to move toward approximately $0.90, with broader support between about $0.86 and $0.94.
Fibonacci levels converge there, including roughly $0.94, $0.938, and $0.862. CasiTrades has also said her Coinbase buy order remains at $0.94.
The chart presents two zones: $1.10, followed by $0.90-$0.94 if support fails.
Resistance Still Controls the Upside
The XRP price correction outlook becomes more bullish if XRP reclaims key levels. The 0.382 retracement is around $1.43, followed by stronger resistance near $1.53. Above that, the major 0.618 level remains around $1.64.
The $1.53-$1.64 area is crucial. A breakout could strengthen the bullish structure and reopen higher targets. Until then, XRP remains between resistance and deeper support.
The four-hour RSI is near the middle of its range, leaving room for additional downside.
XRPL Activity Surges
Price weakness is occurring alongside a sharp increase in XRP Ledger payment volume. Recent data showed payment volume rising about 521.1% to approximately 488.4 million XRP, while payment transactions declined around 10.5%.
This suggests more XRP moved through fewer transactions, increasing average transaction size. However, large transfers do not automatically prove institutional adoption. Exchanges, custodians, whales, or institutions could contribute.
The data confirms increased value movement but not its source.
Broader Crypto Conditions Matter
Recent regulatory developments have not been particularly bearish. The SEC issued a broader crypto-asset interpretation in March, while Ripple’s long-running enforcement case was resolved in 2025.
Ripple also announced a multiyear University of Florida athletics partnership with XRP branding and educational support.
Nevertheless, positive developments cannot always overcome broader crypto market weakness. XRP remains sensitive to Bitcoin, liquidity, sentiment, and crypto risk appetite.
Conclusion
The XRP price correction outlook points to a potentially deeper reset before the next major move. The $1.10 region is the key level to watch. A strong defense could restore bullish momentum, while a breakdown could expose $0.90-$0.94.
For now, the decline looks more connected to broader market weakness than an XRP-specific fundamental breakdown. The next support reaction should reveal whether XRP is preparing for recovery or another leg lower.
